U.S. architecture billings inch up in February

American Institute of Architects suggests a robust recovery is months away

A leading indicator of U.S. nonresidential construction activity improved modestly in February but remained at levels that suggest a robust recovery is months away, according to the American Institute of Architects (AIA).
 
The Architecture Billings Index rose 0.6 points to 50.6 last month, AIA said. It was the fourth consecutive reading above 50, a sign that billings by architecture firms are rising.
 
The billings index is considered a predictor of construction spending about nine to 12 months in the future, since buildings are designed long before they are erected. The latest readings suggest an anticipated recovery in U.S. nonresidential construction may not pick up speed before 2012.
 
The AIA's separate index of inquiries about new projects dipped slightly to 56.4.
 
"Overall demand for design services seems to be treading water over the last two months," said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker. "We still expect the road to recovery to move at a slow, but steady pace."
 

Regionally, the U.S. Midwest and South are above 50, while the West and Northeast are below that figure, which is sometimes called a "boom/bust line." Billings are highest in the industrial sector, lowest in the institutional area, amid restricted state and local government budgets.